RAPORT ANALIST October 07, 2016

Wait and hope that FP will be bought out sooner rather than latter.

Valuation We update our view on Electrica with a NEUTRAL recommendation and a target price of RON 13.97 per share revealing an upside potential of 2.7% against last close. We used a DCF model with a 5-year explicitly forecasted period after which a terminal free cash flow with a perpetual growth of 1.5% is employed. We raised our target price from RON 11.66 previously mainly because we reduced the distribution CAPEX from what has been planned by the company (that included Non - RAB CAPEX) to the levels regulated by ANRE. We also increased our net profit estimates as Electrica’s expenses are declining more than expected and because the supply business is performing better-than-budgeted. We continue to not see any reason to discount the cash that includes the IPO proceeds of RON 1.9b as for the 3rd regulatory period, the company’s approved RAB-CAPEX stands at RON 3,126m and the price offered for buying out Fondul Proprietatea (FP) that holds 22% in Electrica’s distribution and supply subsidiaries stands at RON 790m.